Tuesday, March 29, 2016

The Seattle Tech Migration

By Ken Urman, Realtor

I have commented frequently during recent months about the number of new jobs bringing people into the Seattle-Bellevue-Lake Washington area. These people are looking for, and buying, homes
and condominiums. They are contributing to the fierce competition for available properties in and near the job centers. Many of the people moving to the Seattle metro area are part of the Seattle tech migration.

There has been a “tech boom” in the Seattle area during the last few years. In fact, Seattle ranks second to the San Francisco Bay area among the nation’s four tech hubs.

Although people have been migrating from California to the Seattle metro for many years, the rate of the migration has increased. The source of the migrants has also narrowed in many cases to the San Francisco Bay area, specifically Silicon Valley.

Why Is the Tech Migration Happening?

As Silicon Valley became the nation’s primary tech hub, the Tech Giants like Google, Facebook, Apple, and others paid higher compensation and offered more perks to get top talent. The talent brought into an already expensive area found housing costs continuing to rise. The result was a cycle of rising compensation driving higher housing costs driving higher compensation.

As some employees grew tired of the ever-increasing housing costs, they moved to more affordable surrounding areas, with longer commute times. Eventually, these prices began to rise, more people were commuting, and commute times grew longer. According to one report, between August 2014 and August 2015, home prices increased 13 percent, rent increased 12 percent, and the average
Silicon Valley commuter spent 67 hours in traffic. Recently, the situation in Silicon Valley became so desperate that some of the large tech companies began supporting the construction of high-density housing, with some even lending their names to the structures.

The average software engineer was paid $132,000 in 2015 in Silicon Valley (according to recruiting company Hired). In 2015 in Silicon Valley, the median home price was $870,000. According to Zillow, the median home price in San Francisco is now $1.2 million.

People soon began to realize that their money would go farther and their quality of life would be better in other cities. Please recall that Google recently opened a facility in Seattle, for example. Based on differences in the cost of living in the various locations, Silicon Valley’s $132,000 when adjusted for local cost of living is $164,000 in Seattle and $195,000 in Austin, TX (another tech hub). The median home value in Seattle ($533,000) is half that of San Francisco. Austin’s median home value ($290,700) is one-fourth of San Francisco’s.

What Does It Mean For Seattle?

The Seattle tech migration has been going strong since 2012. Although Californians have been migrating to Seattle metro in large numbers since 1999, according to the Washington State Department of Licensing, the number of license migrations from California rose from 25,619 in 2012 to 37,624 in 2015.

Already, these migrants have impacted the local housing market, competing for available properties and contributing to the increase in local home values. Although Seattle has not been the top destination for tech workers leaving Silicon Valley, Seattle has already become a major tech hub. Software developer is the second most common job today in the area, with 45,312 workers. The average salary these workers earn is $119,000.

While many homeowners are delighted to see their homes bring high prices in the market and many community leaders are happy about the growth of the local economy, others are concerned that the situation in Silicon Valley will be repeated here. They point out that there is limited opportunity to develop additional housing now.

I believe that with strong leadership and thoughtful planning the Seattle metro area can continue to accommodate growth in the tech sector and provide commuting options that will permit growth in some of the surrounding areas. 

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